Nevada Real Estate >> Las Vegas Real Estate Specialist: Nevada: Las Vegas: Centennial Hills

Curious strategic mortgage default legislation proposed

Washington has already come up with some unusual and at times confusing legislation during this enduring housing collapse to correct perceived deficiencies. HVCC – the Home Valuation Code of Conduct – addressing the alleged appraisal problems of the recent past is one. The new RESPA – Real Estate Settlement and Procedures Act – is another that has led to many complaints and questions from the mortgage and real estate industries and puzzles the consumer as well. More of the same could be forthcoming.

House Republicans presented a surprise rider at the end of an FHA-related debate the other day that would prohibit mortgage borrowers who engineer a strategic default while still able to make payments from getting any future government-sponsored loans. Basically meaning FHA, VA, Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. This proposal passed on a voice vote without any dissent probably because everybody was in a hurry to exit town for the weekend.

What is bothersome about this idea is that it would single out mortgage recipients for supposedly being morally wrong and for that they shouldn’t be allowed to enjoy any government benefits. Businesses, including mortgage lenders, constantly pull off strategic defaults when it’s in their best economic interest and no one waves a red flag saying it’s misguided. Some of the biggest mortgage banks just got bailed out, for starters. They also find tax breaks and other government support very useful. To be fair about this, companies then should face the same restrictions upon strategic default as homeowners do.

Wall Street’s greasy fingerprints appear to be all over this strategic mortgage default provision. They are seemingly becoming more common as the real estate meltdown lingers on and the home loan banking interests want to send a warning signal to homeowners who are toying with the idea. Really bad things will happen should they do it.

But the whole thing reeks of a double standard. What’s good for a company should go for an underwater homeowner as well. Fortunately the idea is just taking its first baby steps and once people read the details and find out what it really means it may not go very far. Enforcement alone would be a chore. Besides, it also needs to pass the Senate.

 

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Provided by: 

Esko Kiuru
Mortgage, real estate and apartment industry analyst 

www.BluefoxToday.com - syndicated mortgage, housing and property management blog

eskokiuru@gmail.com
My cell: 702-499-1006

14 commentsEsko Kiuru • June 13 2010 10:33PM

*I* am Refusing to Believe in the "Shadow Inventory Fairy"

Las Vegas Area Inventory Watch

Call me a cynic, but I am refusing in the belief of "Shadow Inventory".  I don't believe there will be inventory "dumped" on the market, and if it does get dumped, we still need 14000 units to turn it into a stable market!

As you can see from the graph above, total inventory levels have remained quite stable in the last two years (when it is all added up!)  Quite a bit of the inventory is swallowed up by the under contract (contingent or pending) category which has a lot to do with short sales clogging up the system!  Now we are seeing short sales close at a higher frequency (went from hovering around 200 units a month for a year to last month, 6 units shy of 800 units!)

So there are reasons why the shadow inventory is out there (and this is a repeat of what I have been saying all year long so forgive me if you have heard me say this ad nauseum.  These are the variables which may "prevent" foreclosures:

  • Bankruptcy:  Filing bankruptcy will stall the process of foreclosure.
  • Short Sales:  Foreclosure (trustee) Sale dates being pushed back by sellers, agents, servicing negotiators, you get the picture.
  • Loan Modifications & Workouts:  Many people are genuinely trying to work out issues with their loans to save it.

Other Variables that are hindering the "inventory" from coming online quickly: 

Third parties are purchasing at the trustee sales so stuff isn't going "back to the bank" it is going to an all cash investor or purchaser.  When this happens many things can happen:  they can "flip", they can rent it out or they can be owner occupied.  So the inventory is "lost" if they choose the latter two.  We are seeing a LARGE increase in "corporate owned flips" in the Las Vegas Valley.  Fannie loosening up on flip guidelines for FHA in just the last week will make this an even hotter commodity now that "trustee flips" will give them a 30% larger market share (by adding FHA buyers to the mix.)

Inventory gets lost with servicer or lienholder.  Have this issue on a BPO currently.  The servicer did not know that the property went to a trustee sale.

Rentbacks:  Some lienholders are renting the properties back in cases where a tenant may have a valid lease in place.

I firmly believe that banks want this crap these non-performing assets off their books as soon as it gets on the books.

This will be a new monthly market report for the naysayers. If I am wrong we will see a spike. I will dub thee "Las Vegas Inventory Watch"

 

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